Backtesting
Backtesting is where Just Indicators checks whether an indicator/timeframe setup worked historically before any win-rate style number is treated as a measured result.
Research only. Background agents can run private validation continuously, but public win-rate or probability claims stay locked until tests are reproducible, sample sizes are shown, and overfit checks pass. Percentages are historical context only, not a suggestion to buy, sell, hold, sell puts, buy calls, or enter any order.
Background validation
Running locally when Acer agents are on
Public probability estimates
Held until background tests pass
Quote safety rule
No probability estimates from stale quotes
Seed indicator/timeframe table
This table is a seed list for the Backtesting Agents. The agents should try to reproduce, reject, or downgrade each claim using ANNbroker data. Until then, each row is shown as pending background validation, not as an ANNbroker-measured result.
| Indicator | Chart timeframe | Seed win rate | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price Rate of Change | 5-min | 93% | Pending background validation |
| VWAP | 5-min | 93% | Pending background validation |
| Weighted Moving Average | 5-min | 83% | Pending background validation |
| Hull Moving Average | 5-min | 77% | Pending background validation |
| Simple Moving Average | 5-min | 70% | Pending background validation |
| Relative Strength Index | 5-min | 53% | Pending background validation |
| Commodity Channel Index | 60-min | 50% | Pending background validation |
| Bollinger Bands | 60-min | 47% | Pending background validation |
| Aroon Indicator | 5-min | 47% | Pending background validation |
| Money Flow Index | 60-min | 43% | Pending background validation |
| Stochastic Indicator | 60-min | 43% | Pending background validation |
Background validation agents
BacktestingAgentRuns reproducible tests by symbol, timeframe, indicator, lookback, and holding window.
WalkForwardAgentSeparates training windows from forward-test windows where possible.
OverfitGuardAgentPenalizes tiny samples, cherry-picked windows, and one-off wins.
PublisherGateAgentOnly publishes validated findings after price, sample-size, wording, and smoke-test checks pass.