Stock evidence summary
AAL — American Airlines
Indicator close (not current quote)
$15.99
Evidence score
62
Price/source label
indicator close — not current quote
Confidence
limited
Educational research only. ANNbroker is not a broker, dealer, investment adviser, or trading platform. Evidence summaries are not trade recommendations. Market data may be delayed, cached, incomplete, or inaccurate; use brokerage/exchange quotes for order entry. Options involve risk.
What could happen next
scenario, not forecastAAL currently appears positive evidence with pullback risk based on available indicator evidence. This is a scenario summary, not a forecast; confidence is partial, limited.
Could happen
- Price could continue showing positive pressure if trend, momentum, and volume evidence remain aligned.
- A pullback could still happen if the move is extended, volume weakens, or price/source confidence changes.
- ATR context suggests recent one-day movement has been around 4.12% ($0.66). That describes recent movement range, not future direction.
Supports
- Price is above the 20-day moving average (14.42).
- Price is above the 50-day moving average (13.07).
- Price is above the 200-day moving average (13.14).
- Supertrend state is bullish.
Argues against
- No strong opposing indicator evidence is listed yet.
Risks / confidence
- Data trust note: only one OHLCV source verified for this cycle.
- ATR risk is active at 4.12% of price.
- Upper Donchian-range behavior can also be extended if volume/momentum do not confirm.
- Options-active underlying: OptionsTransparencyAgent will report IV, spread, open interest, option volume, and event-risk availability when sources are configured; missing fields are marked unavailable instead of guessed.
- Price/source confidence: indicator close — not current quote.
- Indicator close is a research input for RSI/MACD/ATR/backtesting. It is not a live quote.
- Confidence: partial, limited
- Uses could/may/possible language. This is not a recommendation, prediction, or order-entry quote.
Indicator evidence
Positive / supportive evidence
- Price is above the 20-day moving average (14.42).
- Price is above the 50-day moving average (13.07).
- Price is above the 200-day moving average (13.14).
- Supertrend state is bullish.
- Parabolic SAR is below price, supporting the current upward structure.
- ADX/DMI shows a stronger upward trend: ADX 27.52, +DI 38.23 > -DI 16.04.
- MACD histogram is positive (0.1476), showing upward momentum pressure.
- RSI is constructive without being extreme (68.42).
Negative / opposing evidence
- No evidence listed yet.
Watchouts
- Data trust note: only one OHLCV source verified for this cycle.
- ATR risk is active at 4.12% of price.
- Upper Donchian-range behavior can also be extended if volume/momentum do not confirm.
- Options-active underlying: OptionsTransparencyAgent will report IV, spread, open interest, option volume, and event-risk availability when sources are configured; missing fields are marked unavailable instead of guessed.
Price/source confidence
Quote state
quote_locked
Label
indicator close — not current quote
ATR %
4.12%
1-day ATR context
$0.6588
- Indicator close is a research input for RSI/MACD/ATR/backtesting. It is not a live quote.
- Current quote display is locked until fresh multi-source price checks pass. Use a brokerage/exchange quote for current price and order entry.
- Current quote display is locked unless fresh multi-source checks pass. Use broker/exchange quotes for order entry.
Numbers table
| Close | 15.99 |
| Score | 62 |
| Trend score | 25 |
| Momentum score | 14 |
| Volume/flow score | 16 |
| Volatility/risk score | 1 |
| RSI 14 | 68.4163 |
| MACD histogram | 0.1476 |
| ADX 14 | 27.5212 |
| ATR $ | 0.6588 |
| ATR % | 4.12 |
| 1-day ATR low | 15.3312 |
| 1-day ATR high | 16.6488 |
| Relative volume 20 | 1.1597 |
| CMF 20 | 0.0277 |
| Donchian position | 0.9435 |
| Bollinger %B | 0.974 |
| Above VWAP 20 | 1 |
Weekly movement / options context
These are probability-readiness notes, not trade suggestions. Direction odds stay locked until Backtesting Agents validate a model for this symbol/timeframe.
1-week ATR range context
9.21%
Rise % over 1 week
pending validated direction model
Fall % over 1 week
pending validated direction model
Put/call odds
input-required
- requires current broker quote, strike, expiry, IV or validated historical model
- requires current broker quote, strike, expiry, IV or validated historical model
- Use the Options Probabilities page with a current broker/exchange price for educational sandbox estimates.
Backtesting status
Backtesting
background validation in progress
Public win-rate claims
locked until validated
Backtesting agents must validate indicator/timeframe win rates against historical data before the site displays them as measured results.
News/context
No stock-specific news context listed in the current public data.