Stock evidence summary

ACAD — ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. - Common Stock

Indicator close (not current quote)
$21.62
Evidence score
28
Price/source label
indicator close — not current quote
Confidence
limited

Educational research only. ANNbroker is not a broker, dealer, investment adviser, or trading platform. Evidence summaries are not trade recommendations. Market data may be delayed, cached, incomplete, or inaccurate; use brokerage/exchange quotes for order entry. Options involve risk.

What could happen next

scenario, not forecast

ACAD currently appears positive evidence with pullback risk based on available indicator evidence. This is a scenario summary, not a forecast; confidence is partial, limited.

Could happen

  • Price could continue showing positive pressure if trend, momentum, and volume evidence remain aligned.
  • A pullback could still happen if the move is extended, volume weakens, or price/source confidence changes.
  • ATR context suggests recent one-day movement has been around 3.03% ($0.65). That describes recent movement range, not future direction.

Supports

  • Price is above the 20-day moving average (21.37).
  • Supertrend state is bullish.
  • MACD histogram is positive (0.0094), showing upward momentum pressure.
  • RSI is constructive without being extreme (51.38).

Argues against

  • Price is below the 50-day moving average.
  • Price is below the 200-day moving average.
  • Parabolic SAR is above price, warning of downside structure or trend pressure.
  • Price is below the recent volume-at-price control area near 22.02.

Risks / confidence

  • Data trust note: only one OHLCV source verified for this cycle.
  • ATR risk is active at 3.03% of price.
  • Options activity is not confirmed in the starter universe; OptionsTransparencyAgent will mark contract-liquidity context as not confirmed unless an options-chain source is available.
  • Price/source confidence: indicator close — not current quote.
  • Indicator close is a research input for RSI/MACD/ATR/backtesting. It is not a live quote.
  • Current quote display is locked until fresh multi-source price checks pass. Use a brokerage/exchange quote for current price and order entry.
  • Confidence: partial, limited
  • Uses could/may/possible language. This is not a recommendation, prediction, or order-entry quote.

Indicator evidence

Positive / supportive evidence

  • Price is above the 20-day moving average (21.37).
  • Supertrend state is bullish.
  • MACD histogram is positive (0.0094), showing upward momentum pressure.
  • RSI is constructive without being extreme (51.38).
  • 20-day rate of change is positive (5.47%).
  • Stochastic oscillator is constructive: %K 60.71 above %D 37.14.
  • Price is above the rolling VWAP estimate (21.33).
  • Chaikin Money Flow is positive (0.087), suggesting accumulation pressure.

Negative / opposing evidence

  • Price is below the 50-day moving average.
  • Price is below the 200-day moving average.
  • Parabolic SAR is above price, warning of downside structure or reversal pressure.
  • Price is below the recent volume-at-price control area near 22.02.

Watchouts

Price/source confidence

Quote state
quote_locked
Label
indicator close — not current quote
ATR %
3.03%
1-day ATR context
$0.6543

Numbers table

Close21.6
Score28
Trend score-4
Momentum score17
Volume/flow score17
Volatility/risk score-1
RSI 1451.3783
MACD histogram0.0094
ADX 1421.979
ATR $0.6543
ATR %3.0291
1-day ATR low20.9457
1-day ATR high22.2543
Relative volume 201.1266
CMF 200.0873
Donchian position0.6839
Bollinger %B0.7064
Above VWAP 201

Weekly movement / options context

These are probability-readiness notes, not trade suggestions. Direction odds stay locked until Backtesting Agents validate a model for this symbol/timeframe.

1-week ATR range context
6.77%
Rise % over 1 week
pending validated direction model
Fall % over 1 week
pending validated direction model
Put/call odds
input-required

Open options probability sandbox Open backtesting notes

Backtesting status

Backtesting
background validation in progress
Public win-rate claims
locked until validated

Backtesting agents must validate indicator/timeframe win rates against historical data before the site displays them as measured results.

News/context

No stock-specific news context listed in the current public data.