Stock evidence summary
ARL — American Realty Investors, Inc. Common Stock
Indicator close (not current quote)
$16
Evidence score
36
Price/source label
indicator close — not current quote
Confidence
limited
Educational research only. ANNbroker is not a broker, dealer, investment adviser, or trading platform. Evidence summaries are not trade recommendations. Market data may be delayed, cached, incomplete, or inaccurate; use brokerage/exchange quotes for order entry. Options involve risk.
What could happen next
scenario, not forecastARL currently appears positive evidence with pullback risk based on available indicator evidence. This is a scenario summary, not a forecast; confidence is partial, limited.
Could happen
- Price could continue showing positive pressure if trend, momentum, and volume evidence remain aligned.
- A pullback could still happen if the move is extended, volume weakens, or price/source confidence changes.
- ATR context suggests recent one-day movement has been around 4.71% ($0.70). That describes recent movement range, not future direction.
Supports
- Price is above the 20-day moving average (14.82).
- Price is above the 50-day moving average (14.34).
- Supertrend state is bullish.
- ADX/DMI shows a stronger upward trend: ADX 27.19, +DI 28.46 > -DI 17.18.
Argues against
- Price is below the 200-day moving average.
- Parabolic SAR is above price, warning of downside structure or trend pressure.
- Price is below the rolling VWAP estimate.
Risks / confidence
- Price mismatch warning: display/reference price and indicator close differ by 7.32%.
- Data trust note: only one OHLCV source verified for this cycle.
- Volume is light at 0.12x the 20-day average; conviction may be lower.
- ATR risk is active at 4.71% of price.
- Price/source confidence: indicator close — not current quote.
- Indicator close is a research input for RSI/MACD/ATR/backtesting. It is not a live quote.
- Confidence: partial, limited
- Uses could/may/possible language. This is not a recommendation, prediction, or order-entry quote.
Indicator evidence
Positive / supportive evidence
- Price is above the 20-day moving average (14.82).
- Price is above the 50-day moving average (14.34).
- Supertrend state is bullish.
- ADX/DMI shows a stronger upward trend: ADX 27.19, +DI 28.46 > -DI 17.18.
- MACD histogram is positive (0.0100), showing upward momentum pressure.
- RSI is constructive without being extreme (52.25).
- 20-day rate of change is positive (8.54%).
- Stochastic oscillator is constructive: %K 67.45 above %D 65.51.
Negative / opposing evidence
- Price is below the 200-day moving average.
- Parabolic SAR is above price, warning of downside structure or reversal pressure.
- Price is below the rolling VWAP estimate.
Watchouts
- Price mismatch warning: display/reference price and indicator close differ by 7.32%.
- Data trust note: only one OHLCV source verified for this cycle.
- Volume is light at 0.12x the 20-day average; conviction may be lower.
- ATR risk is active at 4.71% of price.
- Options activity is not confirmed in the starter universe; OptionsTransparencyAgent will mark contract-liquidity context as not confirmed unless an options-chain source is available.
Price/source confidence
Quote state
quote_locked
Label
indicator close — not current quote
ATR %
4.71%
1-day ATR context
$0.701
- Indicator close is a research input for RSI/MACD/ATR/backtesting. It is not a live quote.
- Current quote display is locked until fresh multi-source price checks pass. Use a brokerage/exchange quote for current price and order entry.
- Reference quote differs from indicator daily close by 7.32%; use brokerage quote for execution.
Numbers table
| Close | 14.87 |
| Score | 36 |
| Trend score | 12 |
| Momentum score | 17 |
| Volume/flow score | 9 |
| Volatility/risk score | -1 |
| RSI 14 | 52.2522 |
| MACD histogram | 0.01 |
| ADX 14 | 27.1864 |
| ATR $ | 0.701 |
| ATR % | 4.7144 |
| 1-day ATR low | 14.169 |
| 1-day ATR high | 15.571 |
| Relative volume 20 | 0.1205 |
| CMF 20 | 0.0129 |
| Donchian position | 0.3069 |
| Bollinger %B | 0.5177 |
| Above VWAP 20 | 0 |
Weekly movement / options context
These are probability-readiness notes, not trade suggestions. Direction odds stay locked until Backtesting Agents validate a model for this symbol/timeframe.
1-week ATR range context
10.54%
Rise % over 1 week
pending validated direction model
Fall % over 1 week
pending validated direction model
Put/call odds
input-required
- requires current broker quote, strike, expiry, IV or validated historical model
- requires current broker quote, strike, expiry, IV or validated historical model
- Use the Options Probabilities page with a current broker/exchange price for educational sandbox estimates.
Backtesting status
Backtesting
background validation in progress
Public win-rate claims
locked until validated
Backtesting agents must validate indicator/timeframe win rates against historical data before the site displays them as measured results.
News/context
No stock-specific news context listed in the current public data.