Stock evidence summary

BCRX — BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. - Common Stock

Indicator close (not current quote)
$8.99
Evidence score
28
Price/source label
indicator close — not current quote
Confidence
limited

Educational research only. ANNbroker is not a broker, dealer, investment adviser, or trading platform. Evidence summaries are not trade recommendations. Market data may be delayed, cached, incomplete, or inaccurate; use brokerage/exchange quotes for order entry. Options involve risk.

What could happen next

scenario, not forecast

BCRX currently appears positive evidence with pullback risk based on available indicator evidence. This is a scenario summary, not a forecast; confidence is partial, limited.

Could happen

  • Price could continue showing positive pressure if trend, momentum, and volume evidence remain aligned.
  • A pullback could still happen if the move is extended, volume weakens, or price/source confidence changes.
  • ATR context suggests recent one-day movement has been around 4.17% ($0.37). That describes recent movement range, not future direction.

Supports

  • Price is above the 20-day moving average (8.61).
  • Price is above the 50-day moving average (8.93).
  • Price is above the 200-day moving average (7.93).
  • Supertrend state is bullish.

Argues against

  • Stochastic oscillator is rolling over: %K 79.46 below %D 80.57.
  • OBV is not rising over the last 20 sessions.
  • Accumulation/distribution line is flat or falling over the last 20 sessions.
  • Price is below the recent volume-at-price control area near 9.62.

Risks / confidence

  • Data trust note: only one OHLCV source verified for this cycle.
  • ADX is low (16.84), so the stock may be choppy rather than directional.
  • ATR risk is active at 4.17% of price.
  • Options activity is not confirmed in the starter universe; OptionsTransparencyAgent will mark contract-liquidity context as not confirmed unless an options-chain source is available.
  • Price/source confidence: indicator close — not current quote.
  • Indicator close is a research input for RSI/MACD/ATR/backtesting. It is not a live quote.
  • Confidence: partial, limited
  • Uses could/may/possible language. This is not a recommendation, prediction, or order-entry quote.

Indicator evidence

Positive / supportive evidence

  • Price is above the 20-day moving average (8.61).
  • Price is above the 50-day moving average (8.93).
  • Price is above the 200-day moving average (7.93).
  • Supertrend state is bullish.
  • Parabolic SAR is below price, supporting the current upward structure.
  • MACD histogram is positive (0.0741), showing upward momentum pressure.
  • RSI is constructive without being extreme (54.62).
  • Price is above the rolling VWAP estimate (8.61).

Negative / opposing evidence

  • Stochastic oscillator is rolling over: %K 79.46 below %D 80.57.
  • OBV is not rising over the last 20 sessions.
  • Accumulation/distribution line is flat or falling over the last 20 sessions.
  • Price is below the recent volume-at-price control area near 9.62.

Watchouts

Price/source confidence

Quote state
quote_locked
Label
indicator close — not current quote
ATR %
4.17%
1-day ATR context
$0.3731

Numbers table

Close8.95
Score28
Trend score22
Momentum score7
Volume/flow score1
Volatility/risk score-1
RSI 1454.6234
MACD histogram0.0741
ADX 1416.8413
ATR $0.3731
ATR %4.1686
1-day ATR low8.5769
1-day ATR high9.3231
Relative volume 201.1761
CMF 20-0.0075
Donchian position0.7607
Bollinger %B0.7816
Above VWAP 201

Weekly movement / options context

These are probability-readiness notes, not trade suggestions. Direction odds stay locked until Backtesting Agents validate a model for this symbol/timeframe.

1-week ATR range context
9.32%
Rise % over 1 week
pending validated direction model
Fall % over 1 week
pending validated direction model
Put/call odds
input-required

Open options probability sandbox Open backtesting notes

Backtesting status

Backtesting
background validation in progress
Public win-rate claims
locked until validated

Backtesting agents must validate indicator/timeframe win rates against historical data before the site displays them as measured results.

News/context

No stock-specific news context listed in the current public data.