Stock evidence summary

MARA — MARA Holdings

Indicator close (not current quote)
$14.22
Evidence score
33
Price/source label
indicator close — not current quote
Confidence
limited

Educational research only. ANNbroker is not a broker, dealer, investment adviser, or trading platform. Evidence summaries are not trade recommendations. Market data may be delayed, cached, incomplete, or inaccurate; use brokerage/exchange quotes for order entry. Options involve risk.

What could happen next

scenario, not forecast

MARA currently appears positive evidence with pullback risk based on available indicator evidence. This is a scenario summary, not a forecast; confidence is partial, limited.

Could happen

  • Price could continue showing positive pressure if trend, momentum, and volume evidence remain aligned.
  • A pullback could still happen if the move is extended, volume weakens, or price/source confidence changes.
  • ATR context suggests recent one-day movement has been around 7.41% ($1.05). That describes recent movement range, not future direction.

Supports

  • Price is above the 20-day moving average (13.92).
  • Price is above the 50-day moving average (12.63).
  • Price is above the 200-day moving average (12.54).
  • Supertrend state is bullish.

Argues against

  • MACD histogram is negative (-0.0406), showing downward momentum pressure.
  • Accumulation/distribution line is flat or falling over the last 20 sessions.
  • ATR risk is elevated at 7.41% of price; position sizing and options premium risk may matter more.
  • Price is 39.36% below its 52-week high.

Risks / confidence

  • Data trust note: only one OHLCV source verified for this cycle.
  • Options-active underlying: OptionsTransparencyAgent will report IV, spread, open interest, option volume, and event-risk availability when sources are configured; missing fields are marked unavailable instead of guessed.
  • Options context: elevated ATR can mean expensive premium, wider spreads, or a faster move required to overcome cost.
  • Price/source confidence: indicator close — not current quote.
  • Indicator close is a research input for RSI/MACD/ATR/backtesting. It is not a live quote.
  • Current quote display is locked until fresh multi-source price checks pass. Use a brokerage/exchange quote for current price and order entry.
  • Confidence: partial, limited
  • Uses could/may/possible language. This is not a recommendation, prediction, or order-entry quote.

Indicator evidence

Positive / supportive evidence

  • Price is above the 20-day moving average (13.92).
  • Price is above the 50-day moving average (12.63).
  • Price is above the 200-day moving average (12.54).
  • Supertrend state is bullish.
  • Parabolic SAR is below price, supporting the current upward structure.
  • ADX/DMI shows a stronger upward trend: ADX 25.10, +DI 23.64 > -DI 18.11.
  • RSI is constructive without being extreme (55.72).
  • 20-day rate of change is positive (8.14%).

Negative / opposing evidence

  • MACD histogram is negative (-0.0406), showing downward momentum pressure.
  • Accumulation/distribution line is flat or falling over the last 20 sessions.
  • ATR risk is elevated at 7.41% of price; position sizing and options premium risk may matter more.
  • Price is 39.36% below its 52-week high.

Watchouts

Price/source confidence

Quote state
quote_locked
Label
indicator close — not current quote
ATR %
7.41%
1-day ATR context
$1.0531

Numbers table

Close14.22
Score33
Trend score25
Momentum score7
Volume/flow score11
Volatility/risk score-6
RSI 1455.7158
MACD histogram-0.0406
ADX 1425.1011
ATR $1.0531
ATR %7.4056
1-day ATR low13.1669
1-day ATR high15.2731
Relative volume 200.8557
CMF 20-0.0344
Donchian position0.6839
Bollinger %B0.6228
Above VWAP 201

Weekly movement / options context

These are probability-readiness notes, not trade suggestions. Direction odds stay locked until Backtesting Agents validate a model for this symbol/timeframe.

1-week ATR range context
16.56%
Rise % over 1 week
pending validated direction model
Fall % over 1 week
pending validated direction model
Put/call odds
input-required

Open options probability sandbox Open backtesting notes

Backtesting status

Backtesting
background validation in progress
Public win-rate claims
locked until validated

Backtesting agents must validate indicator/timeframe win rates against historical data before the site displays them as measured results.

News/context

No stock-specific news context listed in the current public data.